New insights into population dynamics from the continuous McKendrick model

원문 초록

The article covers the continuous McKendrick model, which is key in epidemiology and population dynamics, developed by Anderson Gray McKendrick. It describes population age structure changes via birth and death rates as continuous functions, shedding light on population dynamics through differential equations. The article delves into the equations, boundary conditions, and survival rates, offering insights into disease progression and population dynamics. It aims for an asymptotic analysis of population dynamics using previous studies and illustrative examples. The main finding is that the population nears extinction only if the expected offspring per individual ($R$) is less than 1.