Physics-Inspired Deep Learning and Transferable Models for Bridge Scour Prediction

원문 초록

This paper introduces scour physics-inspired neural networks (SPINNs), a hybrid physics-data-driven framework for bridge scour prediction using deep learning. SPINNs integrate physics-based, empirical equations into deep neural networks and are trained using site-specific historical scour monitoring data. Long-short Term Memory Network (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) are considered as the base deep learning (DL) models. We also explore transferable/general models, trained by aggregating datasets from a cluster of bridges, versus the site/bridge-specific models. Despite variation in performance, SPINNs outperformed pure data-driven models in the majority of cases. In some bridge cases, SPINN reduced forecasting errors by up to 50 percent. The pure data-driven models showed better transferability compared to hybrid models. The transferable DL models particularly proved effective for bridges with limited data. In addition, the calibrated time-dependent empirical equations derived from SPINNs showed great potential for maximum scour depth estimation, providing more accurate predictions compared to commonly used HEC-18 model. Comparing SPINNs with traditional empirical models indicates substantial improvements in scour prediction accuracy. This study can pave the way for further exploration of physics-inspired machine learning methods for scour prediction.