Decentralized social media platforms like Bluesky Social (Bluesky) have made it possible to publicly disclose some user behaviors with millisecond-level precision. Embracing Bluesky's principles of open-source and open-data, we present the first collection of the temporal dynamics of user-driven social interactions. BlueTempNet integrates multiple types of networks into a single multi-network, including user-to-user interactions (following and blocking users) and user-to-community interactions (creating and joining communities). Communities are user-formed groups in custom Feeds, where users subscribe to posts aligned with their interests. Following Bluesky's public data policy, we collect existing Bluesky Feeds, including the users who liked and generated these Feeds, and provide tools to gather users' social interactions within a date range. This data-collection strategy captures past user behaviors and supports the future data collection of user behavior.
A common goal in network modeling is to uncover the latent community structure present among nodes. For many real-world networks, the true connections consist of events arriving as streams, which are then aggregated to form edges, ignoring the dynamic temporal component. A natural way to take account of these temporal dynamics of interactions is to use point processes as the foundation of network models for community detection. Computational complexity hampers the scalability of such approaches to large sparse networks. To circumvent this challenge, we propose a fast online variational inference algorithm for estimating the latent structure underlying dynamic event arrivals on a network, using continuous-time point process latent network models. We describe this procedure for networks models capturing community structure. This structure can be learned as new events are observed on the network, updating the inferred community assignments. We investigate the theoretical properties of such an inference scheme, and provide regret bounds on the loss function of this procedure. The proposed inference procedure is then thoroughly compared, using both simulation studies and real data, to non-online variants. We demonstrate that online inference can obtain comparable performance, in terms of community recovery, to non-online variants, while realising computational gains. Our proposed inference framework can also be readily modified to incorporate other popular network structures.
Detecting abrupt changes in the community structure of a network from noisy observations is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. This paper presents an online change detection algorithm called Spectral-CUSUM to detect unknown network structure changes through a generalized likelihood ratio statistic. We characterize the average run length (ARL) and the expected detection delay (EDD) of the Spectral-CUSUM procedure and prove its asymptotic optimality. Finally, we demonstrate the good performance of the Spectral-CUSUM procedure and compare it with several baseline methods using simulations and real data examples on seismic event detection using sensor network data.
We present new algorithms for detecting the emergence of a community in large networks from sequential observations. The networks are modeled using Erdos-Renyi random graphs with edges forming between nodes in the community with higher probability. Based on statistical changepoint detection methodology, we develop three algorithms: the Exhaustive Search (ES), the mixture, and the Hierarchical Mixture (H-Mix) methods. Performance of these methods is evaluated by the average run length (ARL), which captures the frequency of false alarms, and the detection delay. Numerical comparisons show that the ES method performs the best; however, it is exponentially complex. The mixture method is polynomially complex by exploiting the fact that the size of the community is typically small in a large network. However, it may react to a group of active edges that do not form a community. This issue is resolved by the H-Mix method, which is based on a dendrogram decomposition of the network. We present an asymptotic analytical expression for ARL of the mixture method when the threshold is large. Numerical simulation verifies that our approximation is accurate even in the non-asymptotic regime. Hence, it can be used to determine a desired threshold efficiently. Finally, numerical examples show that the mixture and the H-Mix methods can both detect a community quickly with a lower complexity than the ES method.
We introduce a novel algorithm of community detection that maintains dynamically a community structure of a large network that evolves with time. The algorithm maximizes the modularity index thanks to the construction of a randomized hierarchical clustering based on a Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) method. Interestingly, it could be seen as a dynamization of Louvain algorithm (see Blondel et Al, 2008) where the aggregation step is replaced by the hierarchical instrumental probability.