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arXiv:2611.14519v1cs.CV

Medical Image Segmentation: Foundation Model Adaptation versus Task-Specific Training

Foundation models pretrained on large natural-image collections are increasingly adapted for medical image segmentation, in the expectation that they will replace models trained for each task. Most comparisons, however, use data from the training distribution and a single task-specific baseline whose configuration is rarely justified, and therefore provide limited evidence of performance at new clinical sites. It also remains unclear how much of a foundation model must be adapted, and what determines this. We adapted a foundation model, DINOv2, with strategies ranging from tuning only its bias terms to full fine-tuning, and compared it with U-Nets and ResU-Nets trained from scratch. Experiments covered colonoscopy, breast ultrasound and dermoscopy, with testing on held-out data from the training source and on independent datasets from other institutions. The adapted foundation model generalised better on every external dataset. Within the training distribution, the task-specific models remained competitive when training data were abundant, and delineated boundaries more precisely, while the foundation model more often missed small lesions. Only a small fraction of the foundation model required adaptation, and the capacity needed was determined by the imaging domain rather than by the adaptation method. A widely used polyp test set was also found to duplicate images from another benchmark. Foundation-model adaptation is therefore warranted where models must work across sites, with capacity selected on the target domain.

arXiv:2611.14518v1cs.CV

Toward Foundation Detection Models via Example-Based Grounding in EM-DETR

DeepLearning (DL)-based Computer-Aided Diagnostic (CAD) systems have shown great promise in supporting clinicians, but their performance heavily depends on the availability of large, well-annotated datasets. In medical lesion detection, the scarcity of comprehensive, stan dardized annotations and the heterogeneity of existing datasets limit the development of robust foundation models. In this work, we introduce a novel approach to building a multi-domain foundation model for le sion detection by integrating diverse medical image datasets annotated for both anatomical structures and abnormalities. We first propose a student-teacher training strategy to effectively combine datasets with heterogeneous label spaces, mitigating catastrophic forgetting, and im proving feature learning. In addition, building on our previously pro posed example-based EM-DETR framework, we adapt it to jointly learn from multiple domain-specific datasets, enabling fine-grained, example driven detection across modalities. Our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) results, with image-level AUC scores exceeding previous SOTA by 1% point on four key findings in CXRs. We achieve a leading mAP50 in CXRs and mammography, surpassing EM-DETR trained on a single dataset by 2-3% points. This approach paves the way for scalable foundation models in medical imaging that leverage heterogeneous data while maintaining robust and generalizable performance.

arXiv:2611.14514v1cs.AI

Contrastive Discovery: Open-Ended Scientific Discovery over Competing Explanations

LLM agents are increasingly used for open-ended, data-driven scientific discovery, yet most of them evaluate hypotheses pointwise, testing an empirical claim $h$ only against its complement $\neg h$. When evidence rejects $h$, the agent learns that one explanation is unlikely but not which alternative the evidence supports. To recover that alternative, we introduce Contrastive Discovery, which replaces the single hypothesis with a contrast set, a scientific question paired with mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive competing explanations. Each experiment is scored by how its evidence redistributes belief across the set, and the question is resolved when belief concentrates on one explanation. Because contrast sets change only the unit an agent proposes and scores, an existing agent can use them to re-evaluate evidence it has already collected or to guide its search. Across six domains, $89\%$ of the pointwise candidates with the largest belief shifts are rejections. On the same evidence, contrast sets resolve $73\%$ of these candidates to a specific alternative. When contrast sets guide search, the agent resolves $67\%$ more questions than pointwise surprisal under the same experiment budget. In a blinded study, $38$ human experts chose the same explanation on $78\%$ of resolved questions and on $82\%$ of questions where the pointwise agent rejected its hypothesis and stopped. Together, these results support explicit competing explanations as a way for discovery agents to resolve more scientific questions from the same evidence and validation budget.

arXiv:2611.14493v1cs.AI

Comparative Analysis of Agent Evaluation Frameworks: Stability, Detection, and Discovery in Enterprise Analytics Agents

Deploying LLM-based analytics agents in enterprise settings requires evaluation frameworks that can reliably detect failures across complex, multi-tool workflows. We present a three-phase comparative study of three evaluation frameworks, each representing a distinct evaluation paradigm (trace-based LLM judging, text-only LLM judging with red-teaming, and deterministic heuristics), applied to two analytics agents in a controlled research setting using frozen execution traces. Phase 1 quantifies evaluation harness stability through repeated measurements, finding that 97% of configurations meet the stability threshold and that stability patterns are agent-independent. Phase 2 measures known risk detection on 72 ground-truth test cases, where the trace-based framework achieves the best precision-recall balance (F1=0.90) while text-only evaluation matches on recall but generates 5x more false alarms. Phase 3 evaluates unknown risk discovery, uncovering 24 novel failures with zero overlap between functional testing and security red-teaming. Our results demonstrate that (1) the information available to the evaluation harness determines evaluation quality, (2) functional and security evaluation are complementary, and (3) LLM-based evaluation harnesses surface subtle errors that human reviewers miss. We recommend a two-framework strategy: trace-based evaluation for functional assessment and adversarial red-teaming for security validation.

arXiv:2611.14492v1cs.AI

ReTrace: Distilling Tool-Using Agents into Planner-Free Workflows

Business process automation runs the same Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) again and again on new inputs. Large Language Model (LLM) agents can follow an SOP written in natural language, but they call an LLM to choose every step of every run, which adds latency and cost at scale. We present ReTrace, which turns an SOP and a few logged agent runs into a reusable workflow in which code, not an LLM, selects the next step. The agent's reasoning, the explanation it writes with each tool call, often states why it took an action; the tool calls alone do not. ReTrace extracts the condition behind each step, merges these conditions across runs into a compact rule document, and generates an executable workflow from it. Only this last stage depends on the platform, so rule documents can be compiled for different orchestration platforms. On $79$ procedures from our production platform, ReTrace workflows reach $93.8\%$ completion, against $96.8\%$ for the agent, at $24\%$ lower cost per task. On $\tau^2$-Bench, they reach $75.8\%$ task success (agent: $80.6\%$) and run in $1.3$s instead of $170$s; three rounds of repair on training failures lift $k{=}2$ workflows from $66.7\%$ to $81.2\%$. On eight SOP-Bench procedures, ReTrace without repair trails few-shot generation ($80.6\%$ vs. $83.6\%$), but repair from labeled training failures lifts it to $87.8\%$ at $0.40$s per task, compared to $85.5\%$ in $46.6$s for the agent.

arXiv:2611.14487v1cs.AI

Re-Search: Dissecting LLM Ideation Through a Two-Player Questioning Game

Research ideation is iterative: researchers refine their ideas step by step based on feedback. Yet existing evaluations obscure this search process, making it difficult to understand how LLMs explore the space of research ideas and what limits their progress. We introduce Re-Search, which adapts the format of Twenty Questions to research ideation: given only the research problem of a published paper, a model must rediscover the paper's core idea by asking yes-or-no questions. Built from 200 ICML 2026 papers, Re-Search tracks how a model's idea evolves as it asks questions and receives binary oracle feedback, isolating ideation from execution. Across six recent LLMs, nearly all progress happens within the first 30 of 100 questions, which largely decide how the game ends; after that, most models plateau. Through controlled interventions on the candidate questions and the hypothesis space, we find that the bottleneck is generation, not judgment: models recognize a good idea or a good question when one is offered, but often cannot produce it on their own. We further analyze the ideation traces and find that models fail by either over-exploiting one direction or over-exploring too many. These findings point to concrete design principles for autoresearch systems: since models can judge candidates they cannot produce, enriching the search with externally sourced ideas and questions may be more effective than improving any single model's generation ability.

arXiv:2611.14432v1cs.RO

One Policy for 100 Household Tasks: Our Solution for the 2026 BEHAVIOR Challenge

We describe our solution for the 2026 BEHAVIOR Challenge: 100 long-horizon household tasks in the OmniGibson simulator. We placed 9th on the final leaderboard, the only independent team in the top 10. The core of the solution is a single vision-language-action (VLA) model, one checkpoint for all 100 tasks, built on our 1st-place 2025 solution, which is based on $\pi_{0.5}$. On the 50 tasks shared with 2025, its Q rises from 0.260 to 0.371; across all 100 tasks it scores 0.392. Our main conclusion from 2025 was that the model was undertrained, so most of the 2026 work went into training the model for longer, optimizing some training parameters, making each training step slightly faster and reducing the gradient noise: a migration from 50 to 100 tasks (semantic stages built from the demonstrations' skill annotations, task and stage embeddings of new tasks warm-started from similar old ones, and a 21-dimensional action space matching the teleoperation controls); variance-reduced multi-sample flow matching with a simple noise-vs-compute model that picks the number of action-expert samples per observation without ablations; and a 200k-step training run, about one pass over the 211M frames of the demonstrations. A cloud evaluation infrastructure keeps a shared record with provenance, episode diagnostics and restorable simulator states, and runs six simulators on one GPU together faster than real time. On top of the learned policy, 14 tasks are routed to a GPT-6 Astra coding agent that controls the robot through observation and motion tools, starting every episode from a frozen copy of its own practice session on training instances. Across these 14 tasks, Astra's mean Q is 0.639, against 0.108 for the learned policy. The public submission included only part of the Astra results and scored 0.446 Q with 27.3% full-task success.

arXiv:2611.14426v1math.OC

Two Communities, One Problem: Branch-and-Bound vs. A* for Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling

Branch-and-Bound (B&B) and $A^*$ are popular exact search methods originating from Operations Research and Artificial Intelligence, respectively. Although the two methods share fundamental search principles, their different ways of exploring the search space can lead to substantially different computational performance. We investigate these differences using the Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling Problem (RCPSP) as an exemplary problem setting. We first establish the relationships between mixed-integer linear programming, state-action, and timed Petri-net representations. Since B&B and $A^*$ admit numerous algorithmic enhancements, we focus on relatively basic implementations. This allows us to examine the fundamental differences between the methods rather than compare the performance of state-of-the-art solvers. By using the same lower bound and best-first node selection, we isolate the effects of the search mechanisms, particularly the identification of equivalent states reached through different scheduling decision sequences. Experiments on 480 benchmark RCPSP instances show that graph-based $A^*$ substantially outperforms the B&B variants considered. With additional pruning rules, $A^*$ proves optimality for all 480 instances, compared with 445 for best-first B&B under the same time and memory limits. Depth-first B&B uses less memory and can find feasible solutions even when the search does not finish within the time limit. Stronger linear programming relaxations reduce the search space but introduce considerable computational overhead. Our findings highlight the importance of duplicate-state detection and clarify the computational trade-offs between the search approaches. These insights can help researchers select an appropriate method and identify opportunities to incorporate effective mechanisms from one approach into the other.

arXiv:2611.14425v1cs.LG

Quantifying the Sampling Frequency Invariance of Time-Series Foundation Models for Sensor Data Applications

Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are increasingly used in sensor applications, where sampling frequency (SF) varies across sensors, devices, and operating modes (e.g., power saving). Ideally, TSFMs must remain effective during such SF changes, provided the SF retains task-critical bandwidth. In this paper, we stress-test 4 prominent TSFMs: MOMENT, Chronos-2, Moirai-MoE, and TimesFM, to quantify their SF-invariance and investigate whether their behavior tracks the resulting loss of information bandwidth rather than the SF value itself. Our stress-test probes 3 dimensions: (i) the shift in embeddings, (ii) the degradation in forecasting performance, and (iii) the degradation in downstream performance, quantified by three novel metrics: FSI, FDI, and CDI, respectively. To our knowledge, this is the first study to place SF-invariance at the core of TSFM evaluations. Our results characterize: (i) how SF-invariance depends on the margin between signal's native-SF and the bandwidth its task requires, (ii) how much of that invariance the choice of TSFM explains, and (iii) how much of TSFM's performance degradation under a lower SF reflects information loss rather than a limitation of their abilities. These findings reframe SF-invariance as a measurable, signal-aware property of the (signal X TSFM) pair, and guide practitioners on when TSFMs display SF-invariance.

arXiv:2611.14419v1cs.AI

Evaluating LLM-Generated World Models for Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning

Formal world models can support planning, verification, and safety reasoning, but constructing them from open-ended natural-language situations is difficult, particularly in multi-agent settings where several formalizations may be plausible. We study whether five LLMs can generate such world models as partially observable stochastic games and whether mechanical validity is sufficient to establish that the resulting model faithfully represents the intended decision problem. We introduce a benchmark of 44 scenarios spanning game, situational, and cultural settings and evaluate generated world models along three dimensions: mechanical validity, reference-relative structural agreement, and semantic criteria. Across three empirical tracks, we analyze 410 first-pass generations. In the reference-backed game track, 134/135 generated world models pass a strict mechanical audit, yet mean permutation-invariant structural F1 is only 0.366, with just 28/134 mechanically valid models exactly matching the authored reference. In the cultural track, explicitly naming the country changes the generated structural representation for most LLMs while producing only small changes in automated semantic scores. These results show that executability is a necessary but insufficient criterion for LLM-generated world models: models that are mechanically valid can still differ substantially in the structure used by downstream neuro-symbolic reasoning and planning.

arXiv:2611.14418v1cs.AI

Precision on Demand: Escalating Weight Bits at Uncertain Decoding Steps in a Small Local Model

Local decoding usually fixes one weight precision for the whole generation. We study a different allocation: store 8-bit weights, decode with their top 4 bits, and redo a step at 8 bits only when the low-precision output distribution looks uncertain (entropy above a threshold or a small top-two margin). Quantization is simulated, the model is Qwen3-0.6B, and the benchmark is GSM8K. Cost is counted in weight bytes read per token. On 36724 replayed steps the entropy of the low pass ranks argmax flips with AUC 0.93. At a 15% escalation budget it catches 78% of flips and the margin gate 94%, against the 15% expected for a random gate of equal rate (a computed expectation, not a run). In 150 live problems all-high scores 64.0% and all-low 55.3% (McNemar p=0.053). An entropy gate with a 16% escalation rate scores 62.7% at 0.87 of the all-high weight bytes. Its paired difference is -1.3 (-8.0 to +5.3) points to all-high and +7.3 (+0.0 to +14.7) points to all-low (p=0.080), so the live data do not separate the gate from either end. Verified speculation reaches zero KL at similar bytes in the same cost model. A live random control, a thinking-mode phase rule, a second model and live KL were not run.

arXiv:2611.14413v1cs.AI

Bits or permutations? Spending a fixed inference budget on weight precision or on option-order averaging in small local language models

Local language models can save memory by storing weights in fewer bits, and they can reduce sensitivity to the order of answer options by averaging a few reorderings. We ask whether the first makes the second worse, and which is the cheaper way to spend a fixed budget. On Qwen3-0.6B and Qwen3-1.7B with simulated round-to-nearest weight quantization (8, 6, 4 and 3 bits, fp16 reference), read from the logits of the letters A to D on ARC-Easy, ARC-Challenge, MMLU and HellaSwag (300 items each), 6 bits lose no accuracy against fp16 (they score +1.8 (+1.0 to +2.5) and +0.9 (+0.3 to +1.5) points higher, which we do not explain), and 8 bits change it by -0.7 (-1.1 to -0.3) and -0.4 (-0.7 to -0.2) points. At 4 bits the answer-slot skew rises from 0.15 to 0.53 (0.6B) and from 0.07 to 0.12 (1.7B); Gaussian noise at the same weight SNR gives 0.15 and 0.37 (two draws) and 0.19 (one draw), so the control is inconclusive on whether rounding adds slot skew beyond equal-power noise. Flip rates rise but stay below an accuracy-matched baseline of independent uniform errors. Averaging four cyclic orders recovers +12.6 points at 4 bits for 0.6B (+5.3 at fp16). We price bits and passes in one machine-independent unit, weight bytes read times passes. In cost-matched pairs, extra orders beat extra bits only when the weights have 6 or more bits, and the decision table reduces to: use 6-bit weights and spend the rest of the budget on up to four orders, one pass each. Everything is simulated on two small models with the simplest quantizer; a title-level search found no earlier study of quantization together with option order.

arXiv:2611.14407v1cs.LG

Causal Concept Explanations for Deep Neural Models

Concept-based explanations in neural models are important for the development, certification, and adoption of autonomous systems. Yet, interpretability remains correlational. Without methods to guide and quantify causal relationships between explanations, a concept explanation can be provided without being necessary or sufficient for the observed output thereby appearing correct while misleading. We introduce Causal Concept Wrapper Network (CCW-Net), the first use of interventional mediation analysis from fields such as economics, medicine, and epidemiology as a training objective to align causal effects of concept-based explanations with a model's output. We further apply mediation analysis as an evaluation tool to quantify, per concept label combination, how much of any model's output is causally attributable to each concept explanation. As a training objective, CCW-Net shapes a model's concept representations such that they are both necessary and sufficient for the outputs they are credited with and independent of other concepts' contributions. Counterfactual concept representations anchor a set of causal alignment criteria: necessity, sufficiency, and independence. Necessity drives irrelevant concept effects toward zero, sufficiency ensures relevant concept representations fully reconstruct a model's output, and independence enforces the total effect decomposes linearly across concepts. We evaluate CCW-Net across aircraft control, driving, and image classification. CCW-Net provides a step toward concept-based explanations that are not merely interpretable, but quantifiably causal, supporting safer evaluation, certification, and deployment of transparent and trustworthy neural models.

arXiv:2611.14387v1cs.CL

Blurring the Block Boundaries: Overlapping Block Denoising for Efficient Diffusion Language Models

Diffusion Language Models (DLMs) have emerged as effective alternatives to autoregressive models for latency-critical tasks, enabling faster token generation. Recent advances employ block diffusion with self-editing capabilities, where each block refines tokens iteratively before advancing to the next one. Yet each block is only as fast as its slowest token, and the next block cannot start before it. We suggest Blurring the Block Boundaries (B3), a novel method with which two blocks are refined in parallel within a shared forward pass. B3 calibrates itself on the fly, opening the next block only once the model is ready to start generating it. It is a training-free and hyperparameter-free acceleration method which seamlessly integrates within any self-editing block diffusion model. Evaluated on state-of-the-art DLMs across 10 diverse datasets spanning varied tasks and difficulty levels, B3 results in on par generation quality and 11.5-14.5% speedup compared to the base model, pushing the Pareto frontier for latency-quality trade-offs in DLM inference.

arXiv:2611.14383v1cs.AI

An Energy-Based Perspective on Machine Learning

Energy-based models (EBMs) define a distribution through a scalar energy, $p_\theta(x)\propto\exp(-E_\theta(x))$, and are usually presented as one model family among many. This tutorial has a broader goal: beyond introducing EBMs, it uses them as a single lens that connects the different aspects of machine learning. Any EBM is specified by three choices, the energy, which determines what the model represents; the inference procedure, which samples from or optimizes the energy; and the learning method, which fits the energy to data. We first develop these components, including sampling, variational inference, and learning by maximum likelihood, noise contrastive estimation, pseudolikelihood, score matching, and adversarial training, and show that the learning methods share one contrastive structure. We then show that discriminative models, generative models such as GANs, normalizing flows, diffusion and autoregressive models, representation learning methods such as contrastive learning, word2vec, BERT, denoising auto-encoders, and diffusion representations, reinforcement learning with EBM policies and world models, inverse reinforcement learning, and planning, as well as inference-time computation with verifiers, are all EBMs that differ in these three choices, mostly in how they handle the partition function and sampling. This view explains existing methods, organizes them into a common framework, and suggests new algorithms by replacing one component while keeping the others, with composition of energies as a principled way to combine learned models at inference time.

arXiv:2611.14382v1cs.AI

Cognitive Mapping of Learning by Thinking Mechanisms in Large Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly exhibit capabilities that resemble human Learning by Thinking (LbT), the acquisition of new insight through internal processes such as explanation and reasoning, without new external input. A systematic account of the cognitive mechanisms behind these capabilities, and of their limits, remains underdeveloped. This paper proposes a Cognitive LbT Framework that maps four mechanisms (Reflective Reasoning, Synthetic Memory Formation, Internal Simulation, and Conceptual Self-Organization) onto computational processes in LLMs. Drawing on representative methods, including chain-of-thought prompting, self-consistency, self-reflection, Tree-of-Thoughts search, Self-Instruct, and self-taught reasoning, the analysis argues that selected methods can functionally approximate aspects of these mechanisms and can improve performance on some tasks without additional labeled examples, although this does not always constitute durable learning in model parameters. For example, Self-Instruct generated approximately 52,000 instructions from 175 seed tasks and reported a 33% absolute improvement on Super-NaturalInstructions (Y. Wang et al., 2023). The same mechanisms also produce characteristic failures, including hallucination diffusion, model collapse, concept drift, and high computational cost. These failures are not isolated technical defects but follow from four structural asymmetries between LLMs and human cognition: the identity of generator and monitor, closed learning loops without external grounding, symbolic rather than sensorimotor simulation, and the cost of inference-time computation. The framework yields testable propositions about when LbT in LLMs should succeed or fail and offers a structured basis for designing more reliable autonomous learning systems.

arXiv:2611.14356v1cs.OS

EngineAgent: Agentizing On-Device LLM Inference Engines with Inference Stack Hierarchy Awareness and Hardware Abilities

Rapidly evolving LLM architectures and heterogeneous mobile hardware make supporting new models in on-device inference engines a recurring and costly system challenge. Each model may require coordinated changes across conversion, graph construction, operators, and hardware backends. Existing coding agents often miss these cross-layer dependencies and struggle to diagnose failures across host--device execution paths. We present EngineAgent, an agentic system for automating on-device LLM model enablement. Its key insight is to separate reusable engine and hardware knowledge from model-specific implementation. Before enablement, EngineAgent constructs a hierarchy-aware engine index that captures engine abstraction layers and cross-layer dependencies, and pre-validates backend-specific build, execution, and debugging workflows using already supported models. For each new model, a builder uses this knowledge to coordinate cross-layer changes, while an auditor checks implementation completeness and drives iterative debugging through device-side validation. Across 12 tasks spanning three mobile LLMs and four engine--backend pairs on CPUs, GPUs, and NPUs, EngineAgent achieves 75% end-to-end success with either of two underlying LLMs, versus 33.3% for the strongest coding-agent baseline. Success requires compilation, on-device execution, and output-logit agreement with reference implementations. EngineAgent also reduces average per-task time and model-API cost relative to baselines using the same underlying LLMs.

arXiv:2611.14355v1cs.AI

CLADE: Category-Level Answering from Deficient Evidence in Retrieval-Augmented Language Models

Retrieval-augmented systems often retrieve passages that are accurate and relevant but state the answer at a coarser level of granularity than the question requires. For example, a question may ask which specific disease a drug treats (familial hyperlipidemia), while the retrieved passage mentions the broader disease family (hyperlipidemia). Prior work on context sufficiency treats such coarse passages simply as insufficient. We argue that they form a distinct case, which we call resolvable insufficiency: text alone cannot settle the fine-grained answer, but the broader category it mentions maps to a short list of candidate answers in a domain ontology. When language models read these coarse, family-only passages, they exhibit a phenomenon we call Clade (Category-Level Answering from Deficient Evidence): they answer instead of abstaining or searching further. On biomedical questions from PrimeKG, family-only passages reduce abstention by 13.8 points compared to uninformative passages, and the resulting guesses are wrong about half the time. A counterfactual test confirms the cause: replacing an exact disease name with its broader family name lowers abstention by 17.4 points compared to deleting the sentence. Simple fixes like confidence filtering, scaling to a larger model, and explicitly instructing the model to abstain cannot resolve Clade, and this replicates on ecological species interactions in GloBI. Finally, we test whether an ontology can turn coarse passages into exact answers. Given the correct family, an ontology list includes the true answer in 98.5% of cases, but string matching finds that family on the page for only 19.8%. Letting the model choose the family raises this to 30.0% and end-to-end recovery from 10.0% to 26.8%. Overall, our results show when language models should stop guessing and consult an ontology, and highlight which steps of that process remain unsolved.

arXiv:2611.14333v1cs.HC

AI Isn't Getting Dumber, We're Getting Pickier: Rising Standards in Human Evaluation of Large Language Models

Users often complain that AI assistants such as ChatGPT are getting worse. Some versions do change, but human evaluation leaves a second possibility untested: the people judging may change. We separate the two on Chatbot Arena, a public platform where people compare answers from two anonymous large language models (LLMs) and pick the better one or say both are bad. We study 1,260,967 blind votes cast from May 2023 to August 2024 on pairs of models whose versions are fixed: dated vendor snapshots and models with fixed open weights. For the same pair of unchanged models, the share of votes saying "both are bad" rises by 1.71 percentage points a month on a mean of 17.1%, and by 1.91 points a month in 2024. In fourteen pairs observed often in both 2023 and 2024, it rose in every one, from 15.5% to 23.3%. The ranking does not trend: in 2024, the stronger model's share of decisive votes is flat. The rise holds within the same voter and on the same pair, and across arrival cohorts from their first recorded vote. It holds with prompt controls, in every major language, for dated vendor snapshots, open-weight models and models with stable answer length, and between interface changes. The drift is shared across models: month effects estimated from other models' pairs remove it from each model's own pairs. Platform-wide, the average model would be expected to score 78% against the 2023 average, yet the share of "both are bad" votes ended near where it began. The pattern fits a standard that follows the category's progress, so a product that stands still is judged as declining. Absolute verdicts on AI drifted while relative comparisons held steady, an evaluation drift that matters for LLM leaderboards and for the human feedback used to train models.

arXiv:2611.14328v1cs.LG

Forward-Value Discretization: Faster Stochastic Diffusion Sampling Without High-Order Approximation

Stochastic diffusion samplers often require substantially more neural function evaluations (NFEs) than deterministic samplers to achieve comparable sample quality. Although higher-order discretization accelerates deterministic sampling, its benefits for stochastic sampling remains unclear. We establish matching upper and worst-case lower bounds showing that stochastic samplers with higher-order approximations remain first-order convergent, even with exact score functions. Thus, increasing the approximation order does not generally improve the convergence order. Motivated by this limitation, we introduce forward-value discretization, a training-free framework that evaluates the data/noise prediction model at a lookahead estimate constructed from previous predictions. For deterministic sampling, the resulting Forward DPMSolver (F-DPMSolver), improves sample quality at low NFE budgets through its DDIM-based variant, despite remaining first-order convergent. For stochastic sampling, we develop Forward DDPM (F-DDPM), which evaluates the model at a cleaner lookahead point adjusted for subsequent noise injection. This estimate reuses both the previous model prediction and the previously injected noise. Both variants admit first-order convergence guarantees with one model evaluation per iteration. Across CIFAR-10, ImageNet, FFHQ, and LSUN, F-DDPM consistently achieves lower FID than the evaluated stochastic baselines at matched NFE budgets. With 1.5 times as many NFEs as deterministic baselines, it achieves competitive sample quality, narrowing the practical efficiency gap between stochastic and deterministic sampling. Code is available at https://github.com/Na-Li66/F-DDPM.