Generative Learning on Manifolds for Probabilistic Seismic Performance Assessment and Structural Identifiability

원문 초록

Seismic performance assessment relies on computationally expensive nonlinear simulations, limiting uncertainty quantification and inference of structural properties from observed responses. We develop a manifold-based generative framework that learns the joint distribution of uncertain structural parameters and seismic-response trajectories from limited high-fidelity simulations. Combining Diffusion Maps, score-based Diffusion Modeling, and Geometric Harmonics, the framework enables both forward probabilistic prediction and inverse inference. Applied to a nine-story steel moment-resisting frame, the results reveal which structural properties are identifiable from seismic performance and how uncertainty in these properties influences response. In particular, the learned representation captures post-capping degradation characteristics more effectively than individual strength parameters. Inverse inference identifies distinct structural configurations that produce similar seismic performance, with representative solutions independently validated using nonlinear simulations. These findings demonstrate how generative learning can support uncertainty-aware seismic assessment while revealing structural non-identifiability and alternative mechanisms underlying observed performance