Deep-Learning-Assisted Bayesian Inference for Extreme-Mass-Ratio Inspirals

원문 초록

Extreme-mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs) pose a major challenge to Bayesian parameter inference because of their complex, highly multimodal likelihood surfaces. Locating narrow high-likelihood regions is particularly difficult without knowledge of the true source parameters, which is unavailable in real observations. We develop a deep-learning-assisted Bayesian inference framework that combines neural-network-guided parameter-space localization, particle swarm optimization, and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. Applied to simulated six-month EMRI signals, the framework recovers posterior distributions in close agreement with reference MCMC analyses initialized near the true parameter values, without requiring such knowledge for initialization. Once the neural network has been trained, the complete inference pipeline takes approximately 10 hours per signal.