From Reconstruction to Imputation: Test-Time Optimization for Missing Time-Series Channels

원문 초록

Complete sensor-channel failures create a difficult form of time-series missingness: local interpolation is unavailable, and deploying a separately trained imputer for every failure pattern may be impractical. We ask whether a sequence reconstructor trained without artificial mask augmentation and then frozen can be converted into an imputer at inference time. Our method treats the missing entries of each test window as optimization variables, clamps all observations, and backpropagates through the frozen model to minimize reconstruction error only on observed coordinates. The resulting observed-self-consistency objective requires neither artificial mask augmentation nor full-channel dropout during reconstructor training. We characterize when this refinement is informative through the cross-Jacobian from missing inputs to observed residuals, and use an optional temporal-smoothness prior when that coupling is weak. Across five real-world datasets with exactly one channel synthetically masked per test window and four reconstruction architectures, no-prior test-time refinement reduces MAE relative to one-pass reconstruction in 19 of 20 dataset-backbone combinations. Compared with mask-aware imputers trained under either standard structured masks or matched full-channel dropout, the best refined reconstructor achieves the lowest MAE on two datasets and trails the strongest baseline on three. These gains require substantially more inference time and are sensitive to cross-channel coupling. Our results establish test-time self-consistency as a conditional inference-time adapter for frozen reconstruction models that complements mask-aware imputation without retraining the reconstructor.