Causal Inference for Qualitative Outcomes

원문 초록

Causal inference methods such as instrumental variables, regression discontinuity, and difference-in-differences are widely used to estimate treatment effects. However, their application to qualitative outcomes poses fundamental challenges, as standard causal estimands are ill-defined in this context. This paper highlights these issues and introduces an alternative framework that focuses on well-defined and interpretable estimands that quantify how treatment affects the probability distribution over outcome categories. We establish that standard identification assumptions are sufficient for identification and propose simple, intuitive estimation strategies that remain fully compatible with conventional econometric methods. To facilitate implementation, we provide an open-source R package, $\texttt{causalQual}$, which is publicly available on GitHub.