Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for Probabilistic Programs with Discontinuities

원문 초록

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is arguably the dominant statistical inference algorithm used in most popular "first-order differentiable" Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs). However, the fact that HMC uses derivative information causes complications when the target distribution is non-differentiable with respect to one or more of the latent variables. In this paper, we show how to use extensions to HMC to perform inference in probabilistic programs that contain discontinuities. To do this, we design a Simple first-order Probabilistic Programming Language (SPPL) that contains a sufficient set of language restrictions together with a compilation scheme. This enables us to preserve both the statistical and syntactic interpretation of if-else statements in the probabilistic program, within the scope of first-order PPLs. We also provide a corresponding mathematical formalism that ensures any joint density denoted in such a language has a suitably low measure of discontinuities.