The Affine Wealth Model: An agent-based model of asset exchange that allows for negative-wealth agents and its empirical validation

원문 초록

We present a stochastic, agent-based, binary-transaction Asset-Exchange Model (AEM) for wealth distribution that allows for agents with negative wealth. This model retains certain features of prior AEMs such as redistribution and wealth-attained advantage, but it also allows for shifts as well as scalings of the agent density function. We derive the Fokker-Planck equation describing its time evolution and we describe its numerical solution, including a methodology for solving the inverse problem of finding the model parameters that best match empirical data. Using this methodology, we compare the steady-state solutions of the Fokker-Planck equation with data from the United States Survey of Consumer Finances over a time period of 27 years. In doing so, we demonstrate agreement with empirical data of an average error less than 0.16\% over this time period. We present the model parameters for the US wealth distribution data as a function of time under the assumption that the distribution responds to their variation adiabatically. We argue that the time series of model parameters thus obtained provides a valuable new diagnostic tool for analyzing wealth inequality.