EXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) aims to help users to grasp the reasoning behind the predictions of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) system. Many XAI approaches have emerged in recent years. Consequently, a subfield related to the evaluation of XAI methods has gained considerable attention, with the aim to determine which methods provide the best explanation using various approaches and criteria. However, the literature lacks a comparison of the evaluation metrics themselves, that one can use to evaluate XAI methods. This work aims to fill this gap by comparing 14 different metrics when applied to nine state-of-the-art XAI methods and three dummy methods (e.g., random saliency maps) used as references. Experimental results show which of these metrics produces highly correlated results, indicating potential redundancy. We also demonstrate the significant impact of varying the baseline hyperparameter on the evaluation metric values. Finally, we use dummy methods to assess the reliability of metrics in terms of ranking, pointing out their limitations.
While local explanations for AI models can offer insights into individual predictions, such as feature importance, they are plagued by issues like instability. The unreliability of feature weights, often skewed due to poorly calibrated ML models, deepens these challenges. Moreover, the critical aspect of feature importance uncertainty remains mostly unaddressed in Explainable AI (XAI). The novel feature importance explanation method presented in this paper, called Calibrated Explanations (CE), is designed to tackle these issues head-on. Built on the foundation of Venn-Abers, CE not only calibrates the underlying model but also delivers reliable feature importance explanations with an exact definition of the feature weights. CE goes beyond conventional solutions by addressing output uncertainty. It accomplishes this by providing uncertainty quantification for both feature weights and the model's probability estimates. Additionally, CE is model-agnostic, featuring easily comprehensible conditional rules and the ability to generate counterfactual explanations with embedded uncertainty quantification. Results from an evaluation with 25 benchmark datasets underscore the efficacy of CE, making it stand as a fast, reliable, stable, and robust solution.
Wind turbine power curve models translate ambient conditions into turbine power output. They are essential for energy yield prediction and turbine performance monitoring. In recent years, increasingly complex machine learning methods have become state-of-the-art for this task. Nevertheless, they frequently encounter criticism due to their apparent lack of transparency, which raises concerns regarding their performance in non-stationary environments, such as those faced by wind turbines. We, therefore, introduce an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework to investigate and validate strategies learned by data-driven power curve models from operational wind turbine data. With the help of simple, physics-informed baseline models it enables an automated evaluation of machine learning models beyond standard error metrics. Alongside this novel tool, we present its efficacy for a more informed model selection. We show, for instance, that learned strategies can be meaningful indicators for a model's generalization ability in addition to test set errors, especially when only little data is available. Moreover, the approach facilitates an understanding of how decisions along the machine learning pipeline, such as data selection, pre-processing, or training parameters, affect learned strategies. In a practical example, we demonstrate the framework's utilisation to obtain more physically meaningful models, a prerequisite not only for robustness but also for insights into turbine operation by domain experts. The latter, we demonstrate in the context of wind turbine performance monitoring. Alongside this paper, we publish a Python implementation of the presented framework and hope this can guide researchers and practitioners alike toward training, selecting and utilizing more transparent and robust data-driven wind turbine power curve models.
Robust feature selection is vital for creating reliable and interpretable Machine Learning (ML) models. When designing statistical prediction models in cases where domain knowledge is limited and underlying interactions are unknown, choosing the optimal set of features is often difficult. To mitigate this issue, we introduce a Multidata (M) causal feature selection approach that simultaneously processes an ensemble of time series datasets and produces a single set of causal drivers. This approach uses the causal discovery algorithms PC1 or PCMCI that are implemented in the Tigramite Python package. These algorithms utilize conditional independence tests to infer parts of the causal graph. Our causal feature selection approach filters out causally-spurious links before passing the remaining causal features as inputs to ML models (Multiple linear regression, Random Forest) that predict the targets. We apply our framework to the statistical intensity prediction of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclones (TC), for which it is often difficult to accurately choose drivers and their dimensionality reduction (time lags, vertical levels, and area-averaging). Using more stringent significance thresholds in the conditional independence tests helps eliminate spurious causal relationships, thus helping the ML model generalize better to unseen TC cases. M-PC1 with a reduced number of features outperforms M-PCMCI, non-causal ML, and other feature selection methods (lagged correlation, random), even slightly outperforming feature selection based on eXplainable Artificial Intelligence. The optimal causal drivers obtained from our causal feature selection help improve our understanding of underlying relationships and suggest new potential drivers of TC intensification.
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) provides tools to help understanding how the machine learning models work and reach a specific outcome. It helps to increase the interpretability of models and makes the models more trustworthy and transparent. In this context, many XAI methods were proposed being SHAP and LIME the most popular. However, the proposed methods assume that used predictors in the machine learning models are independent which in general is not necessarily true. Such assumption casts shadows on the robustness of the XAI outcomes such as the list of informative predictors. Here, we propose a simple, yet useful proxy that modifies the outcome of any XAI feature ranking method allowing to account for the dependency among the predictors. The proposed approach has the advantage of being model-agnostic as well as simple to calculate the impact of each predictor in the model in presence of collinearity.
In recent years, deep neural networks have been widely used for building high-performance Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems for computer vision applications. Object detection is a fundamental task in computer vision, which has been greatly progressed through developing large and intricate AI models. However, the lack of transparency is a big challenge that may not allow the widespread adoption of these models. Explainable artificial intelligence is a field of research where methods are developed to help users understand the behavior, decision logics, and vulnerabilities of AI systems. Previously, few explanation methods were developed for object detection based on random masking. However, random masks may raise some issues regarding the actual importance of pixels within an image. In this paper, we design and implement a black-box explanation method named Black-box Object Detection Explanation by Masking (BODEM) through adopting a hierarchical random masking approach for object detection systems. We propose a hierarchical random masking framework in which coarse-grained masks are used in lower levels to find salient regions within an image, and fine-grained mask are used to refine the salient regions in higher levels. Experimentations on various object detection datasets and models showed that BODEM can effectively explain the behavior of object detectors. Moreover, our method outperformed Detector Randomized Input Sampling for Explanation (D-RISE) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) with respect to different quantitative measures of explanation effectiveness. The experimental results demonstrate that BODEM can be an effective method for explaining and validating object detection systems in black-box testing scenarios.
Data-driven artificial intelligence models require explainability in intelligent manufacturing to streamline adoption and trust in modern industry. However, recently developed explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques that estimate feature contributions on a model-agnostic level such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) have not yet been evaluated for semi-supervised fault diagnosis and prognosis problems characterized by class imbalance and weakly labeled datasets. This paper explores the potential of utilizing Shapley values for a new clustering framework compatible with semi-supervised learning problems, loosening the strict supervision requirement of current XAI techniques. This broad methodology is validated on two case studies: a heatmap image dataset obtained from a semiconductor manufacturing process featuring class imbalance, and a benchmark dataset utilized in the 2021 Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) Data Challenge. Semi-supervised clustering based on Shapley values significantly improves upon clustering quality compared to the fully unsupervised case, deriving information-dense and meaningful clusters that relate to underlying fault diagnosis model predictions. These clusters can also be characterized by high-precision decision rules in terms of original feature values, as demonstrated in the second case study. The rules, limited to 1-2 terms utilizing original feature scales, describe 12 out of the 16 derived equipment failure clusters with precision exceeding 0.85, showcasing the promising utility of the explainable clustering framework for intelligent manufacturing applications.
State-of-the-art machine learning models often learn spurious correlations embedded in the training data. This poses risks when deploying these models for high-stake decision-making, such as in medical applications like skin cancer detection. To tackle this problem, we propose Reveal to Revise (R2R), a framework entailing the entire eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) life cycle, enabling practitioners to iteratively identify, mitigate, and (re-)evaluate spurious model behavior with a minimal amount of human interaction. In the first step (1), R2R reveals model weaknesses by finding outliers in attributions or through inspection of latent concepts learned by the model. Secondly (2), the responsible artifacts are detected and spatially localized in the input data, which is then leveraged to (3) revise the model behavior. Concretely, we apply the methods of RRR, CDEP and ClArC for model correction, and (4) (re-)evaluate the model's performance and remaining sensitivity towards the artifact. Using two medical benchmark datasets for Melanoma detection and bone age estimation, we apply our R2R framework to VGG, ResNet and EfficientNet architectures and thereby reveal and correct real dataset-intrinsic artifacts, as well as synthetic variants in a controlled setting. Completing the XAI life cycle, we demonstrate multiple R2R iterations to mitigate different biases. Code is available on https://github.com/maxdreyer/Reveal2Revise.
Deep Neural Networks (DNN) have become a central method in ecology. Most current deep learning (DL) applications rely on one of the major deep learning frameworks, in particular Torch or TensorFlow, to build and train DNN. Using these frameworks, however, requires substantially more experience and time than typical regression functions in the R environment. Here, we present 'cito', a user-friendly R package for DL that allows specifying DNNs in the familiar formula syntax used by many R packages. To fit the models, 'cito' uses 'torch', taking advantage of the numerically optimized torch library, including the ability to switch between training models on the CPU or the graphics processing unit (GPU) (which allows to efficiently train large DNN). Moreover, 'cito' includes many user-friendly functions for model plotting and analysis, including optional confidence intervals (CIs) based on bootstraps for predictions and explainable AI (xAI) metrics for effect sizes and variable importance with CIs and p-values. To showcase a typical analysis pipeline using 'cito', including its built-in xAI features to explore the trained DNN, we build a species distribution model of the African elephant. We hope that by providing a user-friendly R framework to specify, deploy and interpret DNN, 'cito' will make this interesting model class more accessible to ecological data analysis. A stable version of 'cito' can be installed from the comprehensive R archive network (CRAN).
The expansion of explainable artificial intelligence as a field of research has generated numerous methods of visualizing and understanding the black box of a machine learning model. Attribution maps are generally used to highlight the parts of the input image that influence the model to make a specific decision. On the other hand, the robustness of machine learning models to natural noise and adversarial attacks is also being actively explored. This paper focuses on evaluating methods of attribution mapping to find whether robust neural networks are more explainable. We explore this problem within the application of classification for medical imaging. Explainability research is at an impasse. There are many methods of attribution mapping, but no current consensus on how to evaluate them and determine the ones that are the best. Our experiments on multiple datasets (natural and medical imaging) and various attribution methods reveal that two popular evaluation metrics, Deletion and Insertion, have inherent limitations and yield contradictory results. We propose a new explainability faithfulness metric (called EvalAttAI) that addresses the limitations of prior metrics. Using our novel evaluation, we found that Bayesian deep neural networks using the Variational Density Propagation technique were consistently more explainable when used with the best performing attribution method, the Vanilla Gradient. However, in general, various types of robust neural networks may not be more explainable, despite these models producing more visually plausible attribution maps.
The prediction of age is a challenging task with various practical applications in high-impact fields like the healthcare domain or criminology. Despite the growing number of models and their increasing performance, we still know little about how these models work. Numerous examples of failures of AI systems show that performance alone is insufficient, thus, new methods are needed to explore and explain the reasons for the model's predictions. In this paper, we investigate the use of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) for age prediction focusing on two specific modalities, EEG signal and lung X-rays. We share predictive models for age to facilitate further research on new techniques to explain models for these modalities.
The ability to explain the prediction of deep learning models to end-users is an important feature to leverage the power of artificial intelligence (AI) for the medical decision-making process, which is usually considered non-transparent and challenging to comprehend. In this paper, we apply state-of-the-art eXplainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods to explain the prediction of the black-box AI models in the thyroid nodule diagnosis application. We propose new statistic-based XAI methods, namely Kernel Density Estimation and Density map, to explain the case of no nodule detected. XAI methods' performances are considered under a qualitative and quantitative comparison as feedback to improve the data quality and the model performance. Finally, we survey to assess doctors' and patients' trust in XAI explanations of the model's decisions on thyroid nodule images.
Out-of-distribution detection is one of the most critical issue in the deployment of machine learning. The data analyst must assure that data in operation should be compliant with the training phase as well as understand if the environment has changed in a way that autonomous decisions would not be safe anymore. The method of the paper is based on eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI); it takes into account different metrics to identify any resemblance between in-distribution and out of, as seen by the XAI model. The approach is non-parametric and distributional assumption free. The validation over complex scenarios (predictive maintenance, vehicle platooning, covert channels in cybersecurity) corroborates both precision in detection and evaluation of training-operation conditions proximity. Results are available via open source and open data at the following link: https://github.com/giacomo97cnr/Rule-based-ODD.
Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods shed light on the predictions of machine learning algorithms. Several different approaches exist and have already been applied in climate science. However, usually missing ground truth explanations complicate their evaluation and comparison, subsequently impeding the choice of the XAI method. Therefore, in this work, we introduce XAI evaluation in the climate context and discuss different desired explanation properties, namely robustness, faithfulness, randomization, complexity, and localization. To this end, we chose previous work as a case study where the decade of annual-mean temperature maps is predicted. After training both a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a convolutional neural network (CNN), multiple XAI methods are applied and their skill scores in reference to a random uniform explanation are calculated for each property. Independent of the network, we find that XAI methods Integrated Gradients, layer-wise relevance propagation, and input times gradients exhibit considerable robustness, faithfulness, and complexity while sacrificing randomization performance. Sensitivity methods -- gradient, SmoothGrad, NoiseGrad, and FusionGrad, match the robustness skill but sacrifice faithfulness and complexity for randomization skill. We find architecture-dependent performance differences regarding robustness, complexity and localization skills of different XAI methods, highlighting the necessity for research task-specific evaluation. Overall, our work offers an overview of different evaluation properties in the climate science context and shows how to compare and benchmark different explanation methods, assessing their suitability based on strengths and weaknesses, for the specific research problem at hand. By that, we aim to support climate researchers in the selection of a suitable XAI method.
Non-technical end-users are silent and invisible users of the state-of-the-art explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) technologies. Their demands and requirements for AI explainability are not incorporated into the design and evaluation of XAI techniques, which are developed to explain the rationales of AI decisions to end-users and assist their critical decisions. This makes XAI techniques ineffective or even harmful in high-stakes applications, such as healthcare, criminal justice, finance, and autonomous driving systems. To systematically understand end-users' requirements to support the technical development of XAI, we conducted the EUCA user study with 32 layperson participants in four AI-assisted critical tasks. The study identified comprehensive user requirements for feature-, example-, and rule-based XAI techniques (manifested by the end-user-friendly explanation forms) and XAI evaluation objectives (manifested by the explanation goals), which were shown to be helpful to directly inspire the proposal of new XAI algorithms and evaluation metrics. The EUCA study findings, the identified explanation forms and goals for technical specification, and the EUCA study dataset support the design and evaluation of end-user-centered XAI techniques for accessible, safe, and accountable AI.
Current interpretability methods focus on explaining a particular model's decision through present input features. Such methods do not inform the user of the sufficient conditions that alter these decisions when they are not desirable. Contrastive explanations circumvent this problem by providing explanations of the form "If the feature $X>x$, the output $Y$ would be different''. While different approaches are developed to find contrasts; these methods do not all deal with mutability and attainability constraints. In this work, we present a novel approach to locally contrast the prediction of any classifier. Our Contrastive Entropy-based explanation method, CEnt, approximates a model locally by a decision tree to compute entropy information of different feature splits. A graph, G, is then built where contrast nodes are found through a one-to-many shortest path search. Contrastive examples are generated from the shortest path to reflect feature splits that alter model decisions while maintaining lower entropy. We perform local sampling on manifold-like distances computed by variational auto-encoders to reflect data density. CEnt is the first non-gradient-based contrastive method generating diverse counterfactuals that do not necessarily exist in the training data while satisfying immutability (ex. race) and semi-immutability (ex. age can only change in an increasing direction). Empirical evaluation on four real-world numerical datasets demonstrates the ability of CEnt in generating counterfactuals that achieve better proximity rates than existing methods without compromising latency, feasibility, and attainability. We further extend CEnt to imagery data to derive visually appealing and useful contrasts between class labels on MNIST and Fashion MNIST datasets. Finally, we show how CEnt can serve as a tool to detect vulnerabilities of textual classifiers.
The major aim of this paper is to explain the data poisoning attacks using label-flipping during the training stage of the electroencephalogram (EEG) signal-based human emotion evaluation systems deploying Machine Learning models from the attackers' perspective. Human emotion evaluation using EEG signals has consistently attracted a lot of research attention. The identification of human emotional states based on EEG signals is effective to detect potential internal threats caused by insider individuals. Nevertheless, EEG signal-based human emotion evaluation systems have shown several vulnerabilities to data poison attacks. The findings of the experiments demonstrate that the suggested data poison assaults are model-independently successful, although various models exhibit varying levels of resilience to the attacks. In addition, the data poison attacks on the EEG signal-based human emotion evaluation systems are explained with several Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods, including Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP) values, Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), and Generated Decision Trees. And the codes of this paper are publicly available on GitHub.
To interpret deep neural networks, one main approach is to dissect the visual input and find the prototypical parts responsible for the classification. However, existing methods often ignore the hierarchical relationship between these prototypes, and thus can not explain semantic concepts at both higher level (e.g., water sports) and lower level (e.g., swimming). In this paper inspired by human cognition system, we leverage hierarchal information to deal with uncertainty: When we observe water and human activity, but no definitive action it can be recognized as the water sports parent class. Only after observing a person swimming can we definitively refine it to the swimming action. To this end, we propose HIerarchical Prototype Explainer (HIPE) to build hierarchical relations between prototypes and classes. HIPE enables a reasoning process for video action classification by dissecting the input video frames on multiple levels of the class hierarchy, our method is also applicable to other video tasks. The faithfulness of our method is verified by reducing accuracy-explainability trade off on ActivityNet and UCF-101 while providing multi-level explanations.
Artificial intelligence (AI) systems utilizing deep neural networks (DNNs) and machine learning (ML) algorithms are widely used for solving important problems in bioinformatics, biomedical informatics, and precision medicine. However, complex DNNs or ML models, which are often perceived as opaque and black-box, can make it difficult to understand the reasoning behind their decisions. This lack of transparency can be a challenge for both end-users and decision-makers, as well as AI developers. Additionally, in sensitive areas like healthcare, explainability and accountability are not only desirable but also legally required for AI systems that can have a significant impact on human lives. Fairness is another growing concern, as algorithmic decisions should not show bias or discrimination towards certain groups or individuals based on sensitive attributes. Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to overcome the opaqueness of black-box models and provide transparency in how AI systems make decisions. Interpretable ML models can explain how they make predictions and the factors that influence their outcomes. However, most state-of-the-art interpretable ML methods are domain-agnostic and evolved from fields like computer vision, automated reasoning, or statistics, making direct application to bioinformatics problems challenging without customization and domain-specific adaptation. In this paper, we discuss the importance of explainability in the context of bioinformatics, provide an overview of model-specific and model-agnostic interpretable ML methods and tools, and outline their potential caveats and drawbacks. Besides, we discuss how to customize existing interpretable ML methods for bioinformatics problems. Nevertheless, we demonstrate how XAI methods can improve transparency through case studies in bioimaging, cancer genomics, and text mining.
Deep learning models for learning analytics have become increasingly popular over the last few years; however, these approaches are still not widely adopted in real-world settings, likely due to a lack of trust and transparency. In this paper, we tackle this issue by implementing explainable AI methods for black-box neural networks. This work focuses on the context of online and blended learning and the use case of student success prediction models. We use a pairwise study design, enabling us to investigate controlled differences between pairs of courses. Our analyses cover five course pairs that differ in one educationally relevant aspect and two popular instance-based explainable AI methods (LIME and SHAP). We quantitatively compare the distances between the explanations across courses and methods. We then validate the explanations of LIME and SHAP with 26 semi-structured interviews of university-level educators regarding which features they believe contribute most to student success, which explanations they trust most, and how they could transform these insights into actionable course design decisions. Our results show that quantitatively, explainers significantly disagree with each other about what is important, and qualitatively, experts themselves do not agree on which explanations are most trustworthy. All code, extended results, and the interview protocol are provided at https://github.com/epfl-ml4ed/trusting-explainers.